Does 11 dreadnoughts for Austria-Hungary include the 3 Radetzky-class semi dreadnoughts by any chance? I'm also guessing that 2 dreadnoughts for Italy that followed TTL's Francesco Carriciolo-class were sped up due to budgetary increases?
Yup - the Radetzkys iTTL would be full dreads.

Italy not having to fight the Italo-Turkish War and their slightly superior economy puts them ahead of schedule, and my notes have the Carricolos as a four-boat class - Carricolo, Colonna, Colombo, Morosini.
 
Yup - the Radetzkys iTTL would be full dreads.

Italy not having to fight the Italo-Turkish War and their slightly superior economy puts them ahead of schedule, and my notes have the Carricolos as a four-boat class - Carricolo, Colonna, Colombo, Morosini.
The former seems reasonable with a larger AH economy and the latter as well.
 
"...at the outset of the crisis, France was, unequivocally, the primary naval power of the four major combatants. Germany had sixteen dreadnoughts on the eve of March 13, 1919, with another two having begun construction, and Italy had twelve in service with an additional laid down in 1917 and with construction anticipated to be complete in early 1920. France, on the other hand, had nearly as much as double the dreadnoughts as each, with twenty-five in service as the war began and another two in construction, and having also deployed their first "battlecruisers" earlier in 1918, the Marseille and the Nantes, and having laid down three more battlecruisers as a complement. When taken together with Austria-Hungary's eleven dreadnoughts, the Iron Triangle enjoyed a daunting advantage in pure tonnage over their opponents, especially when cruisers, destroyers, and pre-dreadnoughts were taken into account.
I think the fleet numbers are way off. Germany OTL, as of the Battle of Jutland, had 16 dreadnoughts. They're unlikely to ever reach that number without a similar investment, that didn't happen OTL. France having 27, plus maintaining a large army, is simply beyond their capacities, and likely to send Britain into a frenzy, given that as of 1916, the had about 28 of them. A-H having 11 is also probably beyond their capacity, given that at the outbreak of WW1 they had only 4. It's also worth considering the Navy was a common service, so it would need to pass funding from both Parliaments, which would be an issue ITTL.
Thus, at the start of the war, fourteen of Germany's sixteen dreadnoughts were in their North and Baltic Sea ports of Cuxhaven and Kiel;
As a worthless nitpick, Wilhelmshaven was the main North Sea port of the Kaiserliche Marine.
 
I think the fleet numbers are way off. Germany OTL, as of the Battle of Jutland, had 16 dreadnoughts. They're unlikely to ever reach that number without a similar investment, that didn't happen OTL. France having 27, plus maintaining a large army, is simply beyond their capacities, and likely to send Britain into a frenzy, given that as of 1916, the had about 28 of them. A-H having 11 is also probably beyond their capacity, given that at the outbreak of WW1 they had only 4. It's also worth considering the Navy was a common service, so it would need to pass funding from both Parliaments, which would be an issue ITTL.

As a worthless nitpick, Wilhelmshaven was the main North Sea port of the Kaiserliche Marine.
Remember that the CEW is starting in early 1919 and not mid-1914, so there is 4.75 more years of peacetime naval expansion. This is likely enough time for the Ersatz Monarch class to be built by AH to bring their dreadnought total to 8. TTL Germany has also had to focus more extensively on their army due to being committed to a two-front war with France and Austria (Iron Triangle) and also not having a Kaiser enamored with the navy in power since 1893, so a smaller German navy is not unexpected. France also likely has had a stronger economy TTL due to a better post Franco-Prussian war (not losing Alsace, keeping possession of Suez Canal etc.) which means being able to support a larger navy. Also, apparently France bungled their naval procurement during the 1906-1914 period regarding construction and fell behind whereas TTL we are told that they built their first dreadnought several months after the UK and have been more active in naval construction.
 
Remember that the CEW is starting in early 1919 and not mid-1914, so there is 4.75 more years of peacetime naval expansion. This is likely enough time for the Ersatz Monarch class to be built by AH to bring their dreadnought total to 8. TTL Germany has also had to focus more extensively on their army due to being committed to a two-front war with France and Austria (Iron Triangle) and also not having a Kaiser enamored with the navy in power since 1893, so a smaller German navy is not unexpected. France also likely has had a stronger economy TTL due to a better post Franco-Prussian war (not losing Alsace, keeping possession of Suez Canal etc.) which means being able to support a larger navy. Also, apparently France bungled their naval procurement during the 1906-1914 period regarding construction and fell behind whereas TTL we are told that they built their first dreadnought several months after the UK and have been more active in naval construction.
There’s still a lot of other factors aside from construction time. The level of investment Britain and Germany put on during the OTL arms race is unlikely to be replicated, and nobody would be able to sustain it for long. I will take a guess and say that the French number came from projecting the German shipbuilding before WW1 for 5 more years, but that doesn’t take into account that it had already slowed down by the time the war broke out. Aside from that, you also need crews for the ships and general maintenance, which are pretty expensive.

Geopolitics are also at play. If France wants to keep Britain at least neutral, they can’t go that far. Such numbers should’ve sent Britain into a frenzy and triggered an arms race, at minimum.
 
I think @1962strat is 100% right about one thing - if France and Germany were pumping out heavy ships to the degree they are ITTL the Brits would absolutely have a freak-out and build a whole bunch of ships as a response. They'd probably also pick a side (even covertly) between the Iron Triangle and whatever we're calling the German-Italian alliance.
 
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