katchen
Banned
Both Portugal and Belgium (which wants support for it's actions in the Congo) are likely to both support and diplomatically recognize Greater Rhodesia. This is still the 50s and unlike South Africa, the Rhodesian white minority is both small and undivided, ethnically. Rhodesia does not have the Afrikaner-British balance to give them reason to discourage white immigration the way South Africa did. How much white European (or failing that, Latin American) immigration do you think Rhodesia can attract at a time like this? Can Rhodesia compete with Australia and Canada as a destination for immigrants and thereby build it's economy and perhaps even industrialize?In Southern Africa, the 1950s saw the entrenchment of white-minority rule and South African dominance of the region. The government of South Africa introduced a variety of discriminatory legislation to marginalise non-whites. The first of these was the Population Registration Act (1950), which introduced ID cards for over-18s, specifying racial group (White, Black, Indian or Coloured). This was followed by the Immorality Act (1950), an anti-miscegenation law which echoed of the Protection of German Blood laws in Nazi Germany. A more serious law passed by the South African parliament was the Group Areas Act (1950), which formally segregated residential areas in South African towns and cities, where different races had formerly lived side by side. This act was strengthened by the Prevention of Illegal Squatting Act (1951), which allowed the demolition of (largely black) shanty towns. The Bantu Authorities Act (1951) took this initiative even further, legalising the deportion of blacks into designated 'homeland areas', which tended to coincide with areas of poor economic value.
Equaling residential restrictions in severity was the political restrictions enacted by the South African Parliament. The Suppression of Communism Act (1950) defined Communism so broadly that any "scheme aimed at bringing about any political, industrial, social or economic change" was banned. In effect, anything that opposed the National Party's rule. To strengthen the National Party's electoral strength, the Separate Representation of Voters Act (1951) was introduced. This revoked the franchise of non-whites, placing them on powerless ethnic voting roles. The disenfranchisement of the Coloured minority was considered unlawful by the Supreme Court, when challenged in the case of Harris v Minister of the Interior. The government responded by increasing the number of Appellate Division judges from 5 to 11, the 6 new judges all being pro-government. Having taken away their voting rights, the government sought to force the Bantu peoples into unskilled labour by passing the Bantu Education Act (1953), which enforced racially-segregated educational facilities, as well as a separate curriculum for blacks and whites.
In response to these policies, the African National Congress (ANC) adopted the Programme of Action, a strategy to defy the government through non-violent resistance, inspired by the tactics of Mahatma Ghandi. In 1952, in alliance with the SAIC, Congress of Trade Unions and the Coloured Peoples' Congress, the ANC embarked on the Defiance Campaign, a major non-violent resistance movement amongst primarily Black, but also Coloured and left-wing white (largely Jewish) communities. The government moved to evict non-whites from the historic black cultural centre of Sophiatown in Johannesburg, which was received with protests from locals, who refused to move. In response, in February 1955, Sophiatown was invaded by 2,000 policemen, armed with rifles, handguns and knobkierrie clubs, forcibly moving black families from Sophiatown to Soweto township. The other ethnic groups were also dispersed: Coloureds to Eldorado Park in Southern Johannesburg, Indians to Lenasia (South of Soweto) and Chinese to central Johannesburg. The area was rezoned and renamed "Triompf" and became a suburb populated largely by poorer Afrikaners.
Whilst the National Party was consolidating power over South Africa, the Merina hovas that ruled Madagascar were experiencing crisis. The economy was in ruins, and other ethnic groups were starting to develop underground political organisations to oppose the Merina. In 1952, the Merina elite found their salvation in the discovery of the world's largest diamond mine at Ilakaka, in the South of Madagascar. Incapable of extracting the minerals effectively, the Malagasy sought capital and technical assistance from South Africa and Rhodesia, where several businessmen, including Ernest Oppenheimer of De Beers [30] showed interest in the Ilakaka mine. After Oppenheimer's investment, numerous other mining magnates scrambled to invest. The South African government provided arms and cash to the hovas in exchange for rights to the exploitation of the mine. As expected, very little of the wealth developed by the Ilakaka mine was seen by ordinary Malagasy, who were conscripted into mining, often by hand. They were forced to work, even during periods of extreme heat, with little food or water. Many that collapsed from exhaustion were summarily executed, or subject to other atrocities, such as forced sodomy and dismemberment. This would prove merely the beginning of collaboration between the apartheid regime and the Merina. Moderates within the MDRM elite had been purged, such as Jacques Rabemananjara. Instead, Joseph Raseta took power, and who had been a promising intellectual quickly descended into a kleptocratic tyrant [31].
To the North, the Federation of Rhodesia and Nyasaland (FRN) had been founded. The Federation had originated in the designs of the Southern Rhodesian European elite to gain control of the copper mines of Northern Rhodesia. Although many considered the Federation an economically-sound concept, progress had been slowed by rivalry between the British Colonial Office and the Commonwealth Relations Office (formerly the Dominion Office). The Colonial Office controlled Northern Rhodesia and Nyasaland, whilst the CRO indirectly controlled Southern Rhodesia, although in reality, it was largely administered by Sir Godfrey Huggins (by 1955, the 1st Viscount Malvern). Huggins proposed a unitary state, rather than a Federation, but this idea was blocked by the British, and instead a Federation was preferred by them, who feared Southern Rhodesian dominance of the property and income franchise. On 8 November 1950, negotiations began for a federal state began. Although many issues between the parties were overcome through compromise, Colonial Office Assistant Undersecretary for African Affairs Sir Andrew Cohen proved key in overcoming political deadlocks. Cohen, a Jew, personally hoped that the other territories would moderate white dominance in Southern Rhodesia, seeing the paternalistic racism of Rhodesia preferable to the open White supremacy of South Africa. He was to be mistaken. By 1953, negotiations were complete and a referendum was held (only Whites were eligible to vote), which established the Federation. Legally, the Federation was semi-independent, a "quasi-Dominion", with 5 main branches of government: Federal, British and a branch for each of the 3 territories.
Huggins became Prime Minister from 1953 to 1956 (succeeded by Sir Roy Welensky), overseeing a period of economic success, which silenced many critics of the Federation. Upon founding, it's GDP was 350 million GBP, which jumped to 450 million a mere 2 years later. This wealth was highly concentrated around the white minority, however. In 1955, construction began on the dam at Kariba, the largest human-built dam in the world at that time. The construction of the dam necessitated the removal of about 57,000 of the local Tonga people living along the Zambezi. In the early 1960s, Operation Noah was also mounted, saving thousands of native animals from Lake Kariba's rising levels.
The Federation was initially fairly liberal in regards to native rights. There were African junior ministers, whilst a decade earlier, only 70 Africans were eligible to vote. While intended to appease African demands for representation, it wasn't considered enough, and Africans began to increasingly demand the same priviledges and rights as Whites. British opinion also began to turn against the Federation. In 1956, Northern Rhodesian Governor Sir Arthur Benson wrote a confidential letter to Whitehall criticising the Federation and Prime Minister Welensky. Two years later, Huggins managed to obtain a copy, revealing it's contents to Welensky. British Prime Minister MacMillan did little to prevent the developing crisis, which he attributed to inter-ministry rivalry and Welensky's personal anger at the insults in the letter. British-Rhodesian relations were irreparably damaged. Meanwhile, Dr Hastings Banda of Nyasaland returned from Britain, and Kenneth Kaunda became the leader of the Zambian African National Congress (ZANC). In 1959, the FRN banned the ZANC, as well as declaring a state of emergency. Welensky used the state of emergency to transition the FRN to a unitary state, abolishing all but the Federal branches of government [32], as well as unilaterally declaring independence. The secessionist FRN was supported both by the South African government and the Portuguese, who had recently built a railroad from Luanda to Lourenco Marques through Rhodesia, which was used to export North Rhodesian copper [33].
[31] I'm not actually sure how likely Raseta is to be corrupt. It seems to be quite difficult to find information about early Malagasy politicians. If anyone knows a more likely candidate, please let me know.
[32] This obviously did not happen IOTL, and there would be considerable opposition to such a move. However, the Rhodesian Army is on the side of Welensky and the federal government.
[33] The Portuguese in Angola and Mozambique are ITTL very supportive of both Apartheid South Africa and the Federation of Rhodesia and Nyasaland.